Valencia
v
Ath Bilbao

La Liga · Sat 17 Oct · 21:00 · Referee: Adrián Cordero Vega

Head-to-head — last 5 at Valencia (home)

D 2026-10-17 Valencia 0–0 Ath Bilbao
W 2025-09-20 Valencia 2–0 Ath Bilbao
L 2025-05-18 Valencia 0–1 Ath Bilbao
W 2024-01-20 Valencia 1–0 Ath Bilbao
L 2023-02-11 Valencia 1–2 Ath Bilbao
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Valencia (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HReal Madrid
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
AElche
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HVillarreal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HAth Bilbao
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ASantander
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HSociedad
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AAlaves
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AAlaves
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
ASevilla
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
ASevilla
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HBarcelona
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALa Coruna
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALa Coruna
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-25
HBetis
L
0–1
8–2
2–1
0–0
2026-08-25
HBetis
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AOsasuna
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HSociedad
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HGetafe
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-21
ALevante
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AValencia
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HAlaves
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HElche
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HElche
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HAth Madrid
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACelta
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACelta
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-27
ABarcelona
L
0–2
5–12
2–1
0–0
2026-08-27
ABarcelona
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HSevilla
L
1–3
10–3
2–5
1–0
2026-08-22
HSevilla
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-17
HAth Bilbao
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-10
AAth Bilbao
W
1–0
5–13
3–2
0–0
2025-09-20
HAth Bilbao
W
2–0
5–6
1–1
0–1
2025-05-18
HAth Bilbao
L
0–1
5–3
3–1
0–0
2024-08-28
AAth Bilbao
L
0–1
3–5
3–1
0–0
2024-01-20
HAth Bilbao
W
1–0
4–2
0–3
0–0
2023-10-29
AAth Bilbao
D
2–2
4–10
1–3
0–0
2023-02-11
HAth Bilbao
L
1–2
7–1
2–2
0–0
2022-08-21
AAth Bilbao
L
0–1
3–6
2–5
0–0
2022-05-07
AAth Bilbao
D
0–0
2–4
4–4
1–0
2021-09-25
HAth Bilbao
D
1–1
4–5
5–2
1–0
2021-02-07
AAth Bilbao
D
1–1
6–6
1–2
0–0
2020-12-12
HAth Bilbao
D
2–2
0–10
2–6
0–0
2020-07-01
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
3–5
1–0
0–0
2019-09-28
AAth Bilbao
W
1–0
7–7
5–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Ath Bilbao — higher 1H xG and SOT
Valencia
Ath Bilbao
Possession %
40
30
xG
0.40
0.49
Shots
6.4
6.6
On target
1.7
2.8
Off target
2.6
2.6
Corners
3.6
3.3
Yellow cards
0.5
0.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Valencia — higher 2H xG, SOT and shots
Valencia
Ath Bilbao
Possession %
33
33
xG
0.99
0.31
Shots
7.8
4.1
On target
2.7
1.1
Off target
3.2
1.4
Corners
2.5
1.4
Yellow cards
1.1
0.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Valencia
53%
X · Draw
31%
2 · Ath Bilbao
16%
Valencia at home
Expected goals: 1.18
Conceded goals: 1.16
Ath Bilbao away
Expected goals: 1.14
Conceded goals: 2.2
Projected for this match: Valencia 1.4 — 0.95 Ath Bilbao
Expected goals: Valencia 1.4 — 0.95 Ath Bilbao

Likely scores

1-113.1%
1-013%
0-010%

Goals markets

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521%
BTTS46.4%

Corners (90 min)

Valencia4.6
Ath Bilbao5.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Valencia1.9
Ath Bilbao2
1H total1.2
2H total2.6

Second half

Valencia
39%
Level
33%
Ath Bilbao
28%
Expected 2H goals Valencia 1.05 — 0.83 Ath Bilbao

2H corners split

Expected total5.5
Valencia2.5
Ath Bilbao3

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.6
Valencia1.3
Ath Bilbao1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Valencia
36%
1H · Draw
49%
1H · Ath Bilbao
15%
Expected 1H goals Valencia 0.6 — 0.3 Ath Bilbao · Over 0.5: Over (59%) · Over 1.5: Under (23%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.5
Valencia2.1
Ath Bilbao2.4
O/U 4.5Under · 53%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Valencia0.6
Ath Bilbao0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.6
Valencia 2H1.3
Ath Bilbao 2H1.3
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Mouctar Diakhaby (0.19 xG) is Valencia's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Nico Williams (0.30 xG) is Ath Bilbao's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Valencia · 7 listed

Jose Gayasuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Umar Sadiqdoubt
1 · Knee
Jesus Vazquezdoubt
1 · Muscle
Diego Lopezdoubt
1 · Knee
Dimitri Foulquierdoubt
1 · Other
David Otorbidoubt
1 · Hamstring
Sergi Canosinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Ath Bilbao · 6 listed

Yuri Berchichesuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Nico Serranodoubt
1 · Muscle
Aitor Paredesdoubt
1 · Muscle
Maroan Sannadiinjury
1 · Muscle
Gorka Guruzetainjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Unai Eguiluzinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Valencia vs Ath Bilbao (La Liga). Model call: Valencia to win match full time (53% / 31% / 16%).

Valencia holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Valencia 1.4 — 0.95 Ath Bilbao. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Valencia. Valencia home form +0.02; Ath Bilbao away form -1.06.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Sergi Canos, Valencia's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Maroan Sannadi, Ath Bilbao's full-time attack is trimmed.