Newcastle v 
Aston Villa
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
39%
20%
41%
1 · Newcastle
39%
what the odds should be: 2.56
X · Draw
20%
what the odds should be: 5
2 · Aston Villa
41%
what the odds should be: 2.44
Expected goals — Newcastle: 1.5 · Aston Villa: 1.8
Head-to-head — last 5 at Newcastle (home)
L
2026-01-25
Newcastle 0–2 Aston Villa
W
2024-12-26
Newcastle 3–0 Aston Villa
W
2023-08-12
Newcastle 5–1 Aston Villa
W
2022-10-29
Newcastle 4–0 Aston Villa
W
2022-02-13
Newcastle 1–0 Aston Villa
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.42 → Aston Villa (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Newcastle
Total5.8
1st half2.4
2nd half3.4
Aston Villa
Total4.7
1st half2
2nd half2.7
Yellow cards — per team
Newcastle
Total1.5
1st half0.6
2nd half0.9
Aston Villa
Total1.9
1st half0.8
2nd half1.1
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Aston Villa to win match full time
Based on: head-to-head history favours Aston Villa (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Aston Villa; home advantage to Newcastle.
Corners
Newcastle to win corners 1st half
Newcastle to win corners 2nd half
Newcastle to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Aston Villa to win yellow cards 1st half
Aston Villa to win yellow cards 2nd half
Aston Villa to win yellow cards full time