Brighton v 
Aston Villa
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
30%
19%
51%
1 · Brighton
30%
what the odds should be: 3.33
X · Draw
19%
what the odds should be: 5.26
2 · Aston Villa
51%
what the odds should be: 1.96
Expected goals — Brighton: 1.27 · Aston Villa: 1.97
Head-to-head — last 5 at Brighton (home)
L
2025-12-03
Brighton 3–4 Aston Villa
L
2025-04-02
Brighton 0–3 Aston Villa
W
2024-05-05
Brighton 1–0 Aston Villa
L
2022-11-13
Brighton 1–2 Aston Villa
L
2022-02-26
Brighton 0–2 Aston Villa
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.77 → Aston Villa (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Brighton
Total5.9
1st half2.5
2nd half3.4
Aston Villa
Total4.3
1st half1.8
2nd half2.5
Yellow cards — per team
Brighton
Total1.1
1st half0.5
2nd half0.7
Aston Villa
Total1.4
1st half0.6
2nd half0.8
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Aston Villa to win match full time
Based on: Aston Villa's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Aston Villa (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Aston Villa; home advantage to Brighton.
Corners
Brighton to win corners 1st half
Brighton to win corners 2nd half
Brighton to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Aston Villa to win yellow cards 1st half
Aston Villa to win yellow cards 2nd half
Aston Villa to win yellow cards full time