Brighton v Arsenal

Referee not yet confirmed

Result

18%
23%
60%
1 · Brighton
18%
what the odds should be: 5.56
X · Draw
23%
what the odds should be: 4.35
2 · Arsenal
60%
what the odds should be: 1.67
Expected goals — Brighton: 0.63 · Arsenal: 1.63

Head-to-head — last 5 at Brighton (home)

L 2026-03-04 Brighton 0–1 Arsenal
D 2025-01-04 Brighton 1–1 Arsenal
L 2024-04-06 Brighton 0–3 Arsenal
L 2022-12-31 Brighton 2–4 Arsenal
D 2021-10-02 Brighton 0–0 Arsenal
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.78 → Arsenal (5 meetings on file)

Corners — per team

Brighton

Total4.3
1st half1.7
2nd half2.6

Arsenal

Total3.6
1st half1.5
2nd half2.2

Yellow cards — per team physical

Brighton

Total1.2
1st half0.5
2nd half0.7

Arsenal

Total1.5
1st half0.6
2nd half0.9

No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.

Our model's call

Arsenal to win match full time
Based on: Arsenal's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Arsenal (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Arsenal; home advantage to Brighton.
Corners
Brighton to win corners 1st half
Brighton to win corners 2nd half
Brighton to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Arsenal to win yellow cards 1st half
Arsenal to win yellow cards 2nd half
Arsenal to win yellow cards full time