Aston Villa v 
Arsenal
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
37%
18%
45%
1 · Aston Villa
37%
what the odds should be: 2.7
X · Draw
18%
what the odds should be: 5.56
2 · Arsenal
45%
what the odds should be: 2.22
Expected goals — Aston Villa: 1.3 · Arsenal: 1.6
Head-to-head — last 5 at Aston Villa (home)
W
2025-12-06
Aston Villa 2–1 Arsenal
L
2024-08-24
Aston Villa 0–2 Arsenal
W
2023-12-09
Aston Villa 1–0 Arsenal
L
2023-02-18
Aston Villa 2–4 Arsenal
L
2022-03-19
Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.06 → Arsenal (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Aston Villa
Total4.1
1st half1.7
2nd half2.5
Arsenal
Total5.1
1st half2
2nd half3.1
Yellow cards — per team physical
Aston Villa
Total1.5
1st half0.6
2nd half0.9
Arsenal
Total1.6
1st half0.6
2nd half0.9
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Arsenal to win match full time
Based on: Arsenal's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; expected goals favour Arsenal; home advantage to Aston Villa.
Corners
Arsenal to win corners 1st half
Arsenal to win corners 2nd half
Arsenal to win corners full time
Yellow cards
yellow cards 1st half too close to call — evenly matched
yellow cards 2nd half too close to call — evenly matched
Arsenal to win yellow cards full time