Real Madrid v 
Alaves
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
67%
13%
20%
1 · Real Madrid
67%
what the odds should be: 1.49
X · Draw
13%
what the odds should be: 7.69
2 · Alaves
20%
what the odds should be: 5
Expected goals — Real Madrid: 1.6 · Alaves: 1
Head-to-head — last 5 at Real Madrid (home)
W
2026-04-21
Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves
W
2024-09-24
Real Madrid 3–2 Alaves
W
2024-05-14
Real Madrid 5–0 Alaves
W
2022-02-19
Real Madrid 3–0 Alaves
L
2020-11-28
Real Madrid 1–2 Alaves
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +1 → Real Madrid (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Real Madrid
Total4.6
1st half1.8
2nd half2.8
Alaves
Total4.5
1st half1.8
2nd half2.7
Yellow cards — per team physical
Real Madrid
Total2.2
1st half0.9
2nd half1.3
Alaves
Total2
1st half0.8
2nd half1.2
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Real Madrid to win match full time
Based on: Real Madrid's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Real Madrid (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Real Madrid; home advantage to Real Madrid.
Corners
corners 1st half too close to call — evenly matched
Real Madrid to win corners 2nd half
Real Madrid to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Real Madrid to win yellow cards 1st half
Real Madrid to win yellow cards 2nd half
Real Madrid to win yellow cards full time