Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v Alaves

Head-to-head — last 5 at Vallecano (home)

D 2026-08-20 Vallecano 1–1 Alaves

W 2025-10-26 Vallecano 1–0 Alaves

W 2024-10-26 Vallecano 1–0 Alaves

W 2023-09-15 Vallecano 2–0 Alaves

W 2021-12-18 Vallecano 2–0 Alaves

Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.28 → Vallecano (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-15

HEspanol

W

2–1

0–0

2026-09-12

AReal Madrid

L

1–4

0–0

2026-08-20

HAlaves

D

1–1

9–7

1–2

0–0

2026-08-15

ASevilla

L

1–2

2–1

4–4

0–1

2026-05-23

AAlaves

W

2–1

5–10

3–3

0–0

2026-05-17

HVillarreal

W

2–0

1–9

2–1

0–0

2026-05-14

AValencia

D

1–1

1–5

1–1

0–0

2026-05-11

HGirona

D

1–1

9–5

1–1

0–0

2026-05-03

AGetafe

W

2–0

1–4

5–3

0–0

2026-04-26

HSociedad

D

3–3

6–4

1–0

2026-04-23

HEspanol

W

1–0

6–5

2–4

0–0

2026-04-12

AMallorca

L

0–3

7–6

4–1

0–0

2026-04-03

HElche

W

1–0

9–4

0–4

0–1

2026-03-22

ABarcelona

L

0–1

9–6

4–3

0–0

2026-03-16

HLevante

D

1–1

5–6

3–5

1–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-15

HValencia

L

0–1

0–0

2026-09-12

ASantander

L

1–2

0–0

2026-08-28

HVillarreal

W

1–0

0–0

2026-08-20

AVallecano

D

1–1

7–9

2–1

0–0

2026-08-15

HGetafe

W

3–0

5–3

4–3

0–1

2026-05-23

HVallecano

L

1–2

10–5

3–3

0–0

2026-05-17

AOviedo

W

1–0

2–5

1–3

0–0

2026-05-13

HBarcelona

W

1–0

6–4

1–2

0–0

2026-05-09

AElche

D

1–1

3–7

6–3

0–0

2026-05-02

HAth Bilbao

L

2–4

4–7

4–4

0–0

2026-04-25

HMallorca

W

2–1

9–4

2–1

0–0

2026-04-21

AReal Madrid

L

1–2

6–9

1–1

0–0

2026-04-11

ASociedad

D

3–3

5–9

4–2

0–1

2026-04-05

HOsasuna

D

2–2

7–1

2–5

0–0

2026-03-22

ACelta

W

4–3

1–4

2–2

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-08-20

HAlaves

D

1–1

9–7

1–2

0–0

2026-05-23

AAlaves

W

2–1

5–10

3–3

0–0

2025-10-26

HAlaves

W

1–0

7–5

1–3

0–0

2025-03-29

AAlaves

W

2–0

5–8

5–3

0–0

2024-10-26

HAlaves

W

1–0

6–2

2–4

1–0

2024-03-10

AAlaves

L

0–1

5–7

2–2

0–0

2023-09-15

HAlaves

W

2–0

5–3

2–3

0–0

2022-04-16

AAlaves

L

0–1

12–2

3–2

1–0

2021-12-18

HAlaves

W

2–0

5–5

1–2

0–0

2019-01-28

AAlaves

W

1–0

4–7

5–2

0–0

2018-09-22

HAlaves

L

1–5

8–4

1–2

1–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Alaves — higher 1H xG

Vallecano

Alaves

Possession %

58

34

xG

0.37

0.56

Shots

5.5

3.6

On target

1.6

1.4

Off target

2.1

1.8

Corners

2.8

1.0

Yellow cards

0.5

0.0

Red cards

0.0

Second half lean: Vallecano — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession

Vallecano

Alaves

Possession %

54

26

xG

1.07

0.41

Shots

9.8

4.2

On target

4.4

1.3

Off target

3.3

1.7

Corners

1.8

1.0

Yellow cards

1.1

1.0

Red cards

0.0

Full-time call

NO BET

1 · Vallecano

39%

X · Draw

33%

2 · Alaves

28%

Vallecano at home

Expected goals: 1.44

Conceded goals: 0.83

Alaves away

Expected goals: 1.26

Conceded goals: 1.61

Projected for this match: Vallecano 1.2 — 1.38 Alaves

Expected goals: Vallecano 1.2 — 1.38 Alaves

Likely scores

1-112.9%

0-110.1%

1-08.7%

Goals markets

Over 1.573.2%

Over 2.547.6%

Over 3.525.9%

BTTS52.6%

Corners (90 min)

Vallecano5.3

Alaves5.5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Vallecano2.5

Alaves2.7

1H total1.6

2H total3.5

Second half

Vallecano

36%

Level

34%

Alaves

30%

Expected 2H goals Vallecano 0.93 — 0.81 Alaves

2H corners split

Expected total6.2

Vallecano3

Alaves3.1

2H yellow cards split

Expected total3.5

Vallecano1.7

Alaves1.8

2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence

1H · Vallecano

23%

1H · Draw

48%

1H · Alaves

29%

Expected 1H goals Vallecano 0.43 — 0.52 Alaves · Over 0.5: Over (61%) · Over 1.5: Under (25%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.7

Vallecano2.3

Alaves2.4

O/U 4.5Even · 51%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.6

Vallecano0.8

Alaves0.9

O/U 1.5Under · 52%

2H expected total3.5

Vallecano 2H1.7

Alaves 2H1.8

1H reds (exp.)0.1

Without Randy Nteka (0.38 xG), Vallecano's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Toni Martínez (0.53 xG) is Alaves' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Vallecano · 7 listed

Jorge de Frutossuspension

1 · Red card (direct)

Unai Lopezsuspension

1 · Yellow cards

Jozhua Vertrouwddoubt

1 · Hamstring

Luiz Felipeinjury

1 · Thigh

Randy Ntekadoubt

1 · Muscle

Isi Palazoninjury

1 · Muscle

Augusto Batallainjury

1 · Lower leg

Alaves · 3 listed

Mikel Rodriguezinjury

1 · Cruciate ligame

Facundo Garcesinjury

1 · Other

Moussa Diarrainjury

1 · Muscle

Match analysis

Vallecano vs Alaves (La Liga). Model call: Vallecano to win match full time (39% / 33% / 28%).

Projected xG Vallecano 1.2 — 1.38 Alaves. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Vallecano. Vallecano home form +0.61; Alaves away form -0.35.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Unai Lopez, Vallecano's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Mikel Rodriguez, Alaves' full-time chance creation is trimmed.