Celta
v
Alaves

La Liga · Sun 18 Oct · 16:15 · Referee: José Munuera Montero

Head-to-head — last 5 at Celta (home)

W 2026-10-18 Celta 2–1 Alaves
L 2026-03-22 Celta 3–4 Alaves
W 2024-08-16 Celta 2–1 Alaves
D 2023-09-28 Celta 1–1 Alaves
W 2022-05-07 Celta 4–0 Alaves
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Celta (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HLevante
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AVallecano
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBetis
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HAlaves
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
AElche
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HSantander
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-03
ASociedad
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-27
HOsasuna
L
1–2
5–3
0–1
1–0
2026-08-27
HOsasuna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-06
ASevilla
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABarcelona
L
1–6
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ACelta
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HAth Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AAth Bilbao
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HValencia
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HValencia
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASantander
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASantander
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HOsasuna
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-20
AVallecano
D
1–1
7–9
2–1
0–0
2026-08-20
AVallecano
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-18
HAlaves
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-22
HAlaves
L
3–4
4–1
2–2
0–0
2025-11-22
AAlaves
W
1–0
2–4
2–2
0–0
2025-01-27
AAlaves
D
1–1
4–3
3–2
0–0
2024-08-16
HAlaves
W
2–1
3–3
3–2
0–0
2024-04-27
AAlaves
L
0–3
3–8
3–3
0–0
2023-09-28
HAlaves
D
1–1
2–8
5–3
1–0
2022-05-07
HAlaves
W
4–0
7–1
1–3
0–1
2021-11-27
AAlaves
W
2–1
3–5
2–3
0–0
2021-04-04
AAlaves
W
3–1
2–6
5–4
1–0
2020-12-20
HAlaves
W
2–0
3–5
2–2
0–0
2020-06-21
HAlaves
W
6–0
7–4
1–1
0–1
2019-10-20
AAlaves
L
0–2
6–4
1–5
0–0
2019-02-23
AAlaves
D
0–0
4–3
2–2
0–0
2018-10-19
HAlaves
L
0–1
6–2
2–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Alaves — higher 1H xG
Celta
Alaves
Possession %
52
34
xG
0.40
0.56
Shots
5.7
3.6
On target
1.7
1.4
Off target
2.7
1.8
Corners
1.5
1.0
Yellow cards
0.5
0.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Celta — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Celta
Alaves
Possession %
59
26
xG
1.17
0.41
Shots
7.7
4.2
On target
2.8
1.3
Off target
3.3
1.7
Corners
2.5
1.0
Yellow cards
0.0
1.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Celta
25%
X · Draw
33%
2 · Alaves
42%
Celta at home
Expected goals: 1.6
Conceded goals: 1.63
Alaves away
Expected goals: 1.26
Conceded goals: 1.61
Projected for this match: Celta 1.03 — 1.41 Alaves
Expected goals: Celta 1.03 — 1.41 Alaves

Likely scores

1-113%
0-112%
0-09.1%

Goals markets

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS48.9%

Corners (90 min)

Celta4.4
Alaves4.7

Yellow cards (90 min)

Celta2
Alaves2.2
1H total1.4
2H total2.9

Second half

Celta
29%
Level
34%
Alaves
37%
Expected 2H goals Celta 0.8 — 0.94 Alaves

2H corners split

Expected total5.2
Celta2.5
Alaves2.7

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.9
Celta1.4
Alaves1.5
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Celta
25%
1H · Draw
47%
1H · Alaves
28%
Expected 1H goals Celta 0.48 — 0.53 Alaves · Over 0.5: Over (64%) · Over 1.5: Under (27%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.9
Celta1.9
Alaves2
O/U 3.5Over · 55%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.4
Celta0.7
Alaves0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 59%
2H expected total2.9
Celta 2H1.4
Alaves 2H1.5
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Javier Rueda (0.15 xG) is Celta's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Toni Martínez (0.53 xG) is Alaves' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Celta · 7 listed

Ilaix Moribadoubt
1 · Knee
Manuel Sanchezdoubt
1 · Hamstring
Alvaro Nunezdoubt
1 · Groin
Borja Iglesiasdoubt
1 · Calf
Carl Starfeltdoubt
1 · Hamstring
Miguel Romandoubt
1 · Knee
Jones El-Abdellaouidoubt
1 · Knee

Alaves · 2 listed

Facundo Garcesinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Mikel Rodriguezinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Celta vs Alaves (La Liga). Model call: Alaves to win match full time (25% / 33% / 42%).

Alaves holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Celta 1.03 — 1.41 Alaves. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Celta. Celta home form -0.04; Alaves away form -0.35.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Mikel Rodriguez, Alaves' full-time chance creation is trimmed.